VALUEPUNTER

Asian Handicap Betting

BETTING THEORY - ARTICLES AND LINKS

Value bet and Value margin

Betting the value bets is the foundation for profitable betting. A player should always bet on the value bets, since in the long run, a player can win only by betting on the value bets.

Let’s assume that you have calculated the following probabilities for ManU-Everton: 50% - 28% - 22%. Value margins for these probabilities are 2,00 – 3,57 – 4,55 (100/probability estimation). If a higher odds than value margin is available for some of the results, you are looking at a value bet. For example, if you can get better odds than 2,00 for ManU victory, it is then a value bet and all odds under 2,00 are underprices.

Value

You can count the value of a match in a following way: Odds you can get/ marginal odds. If, for example, you could bet that ManU wins and the odds for that are 2,25, the value would be: 2,25/2,00*100=112,50%. In the long run you could expect to profit from this kind of games 12,50% each time.